Wild second half could be on the way
Baseball Betting Lines
07/15/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the National League's first All-Star Game win over the
American League in 14 years now in the books, we turn the page to the second
half of the season, when teams really start to kick it into high gear.
History tells us that there is one team out there right now, laying in the
weeds, that you don't think of as a playoff team but will come out of nowhere
in September with a run to get them into the postseason.
Could it be Houston? Kansas City? The Cubs? Maybe Toronto? Who knows, but with
17 teams within five games of a division lead, everything is still up for grabs
with 2 1/2 months remaining in the regular season.
So with that said, let's take a look at a few storylines to keep an eye on in
the second half, as well as choosing some award-winners for the first half:
CHASING HISTORY IN THE AL
I wasn't alive for Carl Yastrzemski's Triple Crown season in 1967, but I think
I may have a good shot at catching one this year. That milestone could be in
play come September for Detroit's Miguel Cabrera, who is currently tied for the
AL lead in average (.346), leads in RBI (77) and is two home runs off the pace
of Toronto's Jose Bautista league-leading 24. Cabrera isn't the only one
chasing the Triple Crown either. Texas' Josh Hamilton is tied with Cabrera in
both average and home runs, but is 13 RBI behind the pace. Hamilton gets his
RBI in bunches, so don't be surprised to see both of them battling for it in
September.
PHILLIES ON THE MARCH?
I still think the Philadelphia Phillies are the best team in the National
League. The All-Star break could not have come at a worse time for the two-
time defending National League champions, as they went in having won four
straight. However, it may not have come a better time either, as the Phils
have had to deal with more injuries than any other team in the NL. I still
like their chances, though. I think they will get another pitcher at the
deadline and will probably add a bat to replace Chase Utley at second base.
Nothing special, but something better than Wilson Valdez. Think Ty Wigginton
or someone of that ilk. Keep in mind, nine of their final 12 games come
against the two teams ahead of them in the division, with six of those
contests against the front-running Atlanta Braves.
AL EAST DOGFIGHT
It is a shame that one member of the trio including the Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays is going to miss out on the postseason this
year. They are the three best teams in the American League and very well could
be the three top teams in baseball. The Yankees carried a two-game lead over
Tampa into the break, but Boston is right there at five games back, despite an
unbelievable amount of injuries. I think the Yankees are going to be extremely
motivated in the second half and as last week's near-deal for Cliff Lee showed,
they are always looking to make themselves better. Boston at the moment is
without Dustin Pedroia, Josh Beckett, Victor Martinez, Clay Buchholz and
Jacoby Ellsbury, among others, not to mention the nagging injuries to Kevin
Youkilis, J.D. Drew and Adrian Beltre. The Yankees have done most of their
damage with little or no contribution from Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira.
Both, though, started to show signs of life before the break. Boston is going
to be even better once it starts to get healthy, which could be bad news for
the Rays come October.
CAN SURPRISE TEAMS HANG ON?
A lot of people pegged the Cincinnati Reds as a surprise team heading into the
year, but not me. I was way off on them. They are as good as anyone in the
National League, their lost re-break weekend in Philadelphia not withstanding.
And they could get better with the imminent return of Edinson Volquez. Nobody,
though, thought the San Diego Padres were going to do anything but hold a fire
sale sometime in July. Yet, both team find themselves atop their respective
divisions at the break. I am not sure if either will be there at the end, but
it will certainly be nice to have some new blood involved come September.
If you thought Texas was going to fade in the second half, think again, as the
acquisition of Cliff Lee not only makes the Rangers the clear-cut favorites in
the AL West, but a team that could even make some noise come October.
FIRST HALF AWARDS
AL MVP - MIGUEL CABRERA, DETROIT TIGERS
With all due respect to Hamilton, Cabrera has been the most important player in
the American League so far. Hamilton has Vladimir Guerrero to help pick up the
slack ... who does Cabrera have? Brennan Boesch has been good, but he is a
rookie. Cabrera has been terrific, especially when you think of where he came
from at the end of last season. Cabrera was my pick before the season to win
the AL MVP and I am sticking with him midway through. HONORABLE MENTION:
Hamilton, Texas
AL CY YOUNG - DAVID PRICE, TAMPA BAY RAYS
You knew Price was going to be in contention for an American League Cy Young
Award one day. I am not sure anyone thought it would be this soon, though.
Price, the AL's starting pitcher for Tuesday's All-Star Game, has been
tremendous for the Rays, going 12-4 with a league-low 2.42 ERA and 100
strikeouts. He is still only 24 and could run out of steam down the stretch.
How he finishes the year may determine whether or not the Rays are still
playing in October. HONORABLE MENTION: CC Sabathia, NY Yankees
AL ROOKIE - BRENNAN BOESCH, DETROIT TIGERS
Most people pegged a Detroit Tigers outfielder as the Rookie of the Year in
all the preseason picks. However, not one of them had Boesch as their guy.
Austin Jackson was the rookie that received all the fanfare at the start of the
season, but it has been Boesch who has had the biggest impact for Jim Leyland's
crew. Boesch's numbers - .342 with 15 home runs and 49 RBI - are even more
impressive when you factor in that he wasn't recalled from the minors until
late April. He also has 34 extra base hits on the year. HONORABLE MENTION:
Neftali Feliz, Texas
AL MANAGER - TERRY FRANCONA, BOSTON RED SOX
I know it is hard to give the manager of the year to someone who manages the
Red Sox or the Yankees, considering their payrolls, but take a look at what
Francona has done this year. All those injuries, and he still has his team
right in the thick of the playoff race. HONORABLE MENTION: Ron Washington,
Texas
NL MVP - DAVID WRIGHT, NEW YORK METS
You could go a lot of different ways here. Cincinnati's Joey Votto has been
tremendous and St. Louis' Albert Pujols is always a good choice. Wright,
though, was left for dead last season. A lot of people wrote him off after last
season's power drought. He still strikes out too much, but he has hit
everything in sight from about May on for the surprising Mets. Now that Carlos
Beltran is back hitting behind him, I expect Wright to be even better in the
second half. HONORABLE MENTION: Votto, Cincinnati
NL CY YOUNG - JOSH JOHNSON, FLORIDA MARLINS
With all things being equal, Johnson probably should have been starting that
game on Tuesday instead of Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez. I think wins for a
pitcher are overrated, but 15 wins at the break is pretty impressive,
especially given how good Jimenez has looked at times. Johnson, though, was in
my opinion the National League's best pitcher from start-to-break in the first
half. Jimenez has had a few hiccups in there, but not Johnson, who went into
the break sporting a major league-low 1.70 ERA. HONORABLE MENTION: Jimenez,
Colorado
NL ROOKIE - JAIME GARCIA, ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
You would have been hard-pressed to find any name other than that of Jason
Heyward on the preseason lists for NL Rookie of the Year. While Heyward has no
doubt lived up to his advanced billing, Garcia has been the class of the first-
year players in the Senior Circuit. He has been so good (a 2.17 ERA that ranks
among league leaders), with so much poise, you have to remind yourself that he
is a rookie. With Brad Penny injured for most of the first half, Garcia has
been the perfect complement to the dynamic tandem of Chris Carpenter and Adam
Wainwright atop the Cardinals rotation. HONORABLE MENTION: Heyward, Atlanta
NL MANAGER - BUD BLACK, SAN DIEGO PADRES
The only news I thought the Padres would make this season was the trade of
first baseman Adrian Gonzalez to a contender. Well, Gonzalez is not going
anywhere, as the Padres entered the break two games in front of the both the
Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies in the NL West. One of the best
pitching coaches in baseball up until the time he took managerial job in San
Diego, Black has now worked his magic with the Padres, who have pitched to a
major league best 3.25 ERA. HONORABLE MENTION: Dusty Baker, Cincinnati
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Big 12 Conference betting odds
Work left to do: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
Texas joins Texas A&M and Kansas as locks after getting league win No. 11. Texas Tech greatly helped its own hopes and crippled OK State's with the two-point win Saturday. Is K-State the last reasonable hopeful? Could be an elimination match in Stillwater on Tuesday, at least for the Cowboys.
Work left to do:
Texas Tech [18-11 (7-7), RPI: 44, SOS: 12] A critical two-point win over OK State leaves the Red Raiders with Baylor and at Iowa State left. Get both and the Red Raiders likely are good to go. Get one and there could be some interesting comparisons with a K-State team that could finish two or three games "ahead" of them in the standings but doesn't have any of the quality wins Texas Tech has. Not a lot in nonconference play (against Arkansas in Little Rock being the best win, by far) to lean on.
Oklahoma State [18-9 (5-8), RPI: 50, SOS: 35] Still without a road win, the Cowboys now need to win two on the road just to get to .500 in conference play. It's hard to recall a team (OK, other than Clemson) falling so precipitously from lock status to almost certainly out of the NCAAs at this point. There are wins to be had in the last three, including a very big home game against K-State on Tuesday, but this team is reeling. Can you tell the pressure to win is getting to them with the way the final possession played out at Texas Tech? There are some good nonconference performances to lean on, specifically beating Missouri State and Syracuse on neutral floors and Pitt in OK City, but if the Pokes don't right this very, very soon, that won't be enough.
Kansas State [20-9 (9-5), RPI: 56, SOS: 96] It pays to be in the Big 12 North. The nine league wins are Colorado (twice), Missouri (twice), Iowa State (twice), Baylor, Nebraska and (a good one against) Texas. That helps explain the middling computer profile. The win over USC is nice, but the nonconference leaves a lot to be desired. The game at OK State in Stillwater on Tuesday is huge, as it could KO the Cowboys and leave K-State with a home date against Oklahoma with which to work.
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